NICE logo

NICE NICE

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $112.13
Crucible Score
80.7
A-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
73.7
B+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
88.3
A
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” NICE

NICE delivers solid fundamentals with an 80.7 Crucible Score driven by strong value metrics (88.3 KVI) and consistent earnings execution at 92% beat rate, though quality lags at 73.7 KVI due to weak diversification scores. The stock trades at a substantial 78% discount to fair value of $200, suggesting the market hasn't recognized the company's operational improvements under three-year CEO Barak Eilam.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
77.9
Growth Profile
69.6
Moat Durability
79.3
Management Effectiveness⚠
69.3
Diversification & Resilience
57.2
Market Position
68.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (57.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
86.2
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
87.6
Relative Valuation
95.0
Growth-Adjusted Value
85.8
Historical Valuation
86.4
Macro Context
95.0

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$131.52
Base Case
$199.87
Bull Case
$296.41
Price at Analysis
$112.13
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$131.526.0%24.0%5.8%
🟒 Base$199.879.0%27.0%5.5%
🟒 Bull$296.4112.0%30.0%5.2%
Key Assumptions: WACC is low (5.2-5.8%) driven by NICE's very low beta of 0.26 and an equity risk premium of 5.5%, reflecting the defensive nature of this enterprise software business. Revenue growth anchored on 5-year historical CAGR of ~11.5%, with bear assuming deceleration to 6% and bull sustaining 12%. Operating margins trend from current ~22% toward 24-30% terminal levels reflecting the company's ongoing cloud transition and scalable SaaS model, with D&A declining as a percentage of revenue over time.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin66.4%
Operating Margin21.9%
Net Margin20.8%
ROIC12.7%
ROE9.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.55
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.08x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 0.6%
Altman Z-Score4.47 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR11.3% CAGR
Earnings CAGR32.4% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.58
Segment Breadth1/3 growing (33%)
Quarterly TrendRevβˆ†, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOBarak Eilam Β· 3 years
Insider ActivityNeutral
Capital AllocationROIC 12.7% vs WACC 5.8%
Earnings Beat Rate92% (19/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny