AHR logo

AHR AHR

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 5, 2026
Price at analysis: $48.09
Crucible Score
43.9
C-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
54.0
C
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
31.6
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” AHR

AHR trades near fair value at $48 versus a $49 base estimate, but the C- Crucible Score reflects serious underlying weaknesses. The company's 13% diversification score and dismal 13% earnings beat rate over recent quarters signal operational inconsistency and concentration risk. AHR needs to demonstrate more reliable execution before justifying any premium valuation.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
55.0
Growth Profile⚠
65.4
Moat Durability⚠
58.1
Management Effectiveness
49.7
Diversification & Resilience⚠
13.0
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (13.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
48.0
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
21.1
Relative Valuation
43.7
Growth-Adjusted Value
17.3
Historical Valuation
9.5
Macro Context
16.1

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$29.14
Base Case
$48.72
Bull Case
$74.58
Price at Analysis
$48.09
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$29.146.0%10.0%10.2%
🟒 Base$48.729.0%12.0%9.3%
🟒 Bull$74.5812.0%14.0%8.5%
Key Assumptions: AHR is a healthcare REIT with historically thin operating margins (4-11%) and negative net income, so FCF is driven primarily by EBITDA less capex with minimal taxes given REIT structure. Revenue CAGR over the trailing 5 years is approximately 15.6%, but growth is expected to moderate as the portfolio matures. Terminal operating margins are anchored near the 7-11% historical range with modest improvement reflecting scale benefits, while capex intensity is set at 5.5% of revenue consistent with the 5-6% historical average.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin15.2%
Operating Margin7.5%
Net Margin3.1%
ROIC13.1%
ROE-2.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.00
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 3.24x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 5.7%
Altman Z-Score2.78 (Grey)
Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR13.5% CAGR
Earnings CAGR57.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.91
Segment BreadthInsufficient segments
Quarterly TrendMarginβˆ†, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Misser

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation83% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 13.1% vs WACC 4.3%
Earnings Beat Rate13% (4/18)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 5, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny