ALLE ALLE

Name: ALLE Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored March 19, 2026

Price at analysis: $147.48

Crucible Score

64.1

B-

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

68.6

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

58.6

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — ALLE

ALLE delivers solid financial quality (82) and management effectiveness (80) under CEO Christopher Novakovic, whose performance-based compensation aligns with shareholders and an impressive 88% earnings beat rate. The stock trades at an 11% discount to fair value, but weak diversification (48) and modest growth prospects (55) limit upside potential. Watch for operational improvements to justify the bull case toward $219.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

82.5

Growth Profile

55.2

Moat Durability

63.5

Management Effectiveness

79.7

Diversification & Resilience⚠

48.0

Market Position

58.0

Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (48.0)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

56.5

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

55.9

Relative Valuation

57.0

Growth-Adjusted Value

63.4

Historical Valuation

80.1

Macro Context

29.2

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$119.42

Base Case

$163.87

Bull Case

$218.54

Price at Analysis

$147.48

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$119.42	4.0%	19.0%	10.0%
🟢 Base	$163.87	6.0%	21.0%	9.4%
🟢 Bull	$218.54	8.0%	23.0%	8.9%

Key Assumptions: Revenue grew at ~9% CAGR over the trailing 5 years with operating margins expanding from 18.5% to 21.1%; base case assumes moderation to 6% revenue CAGR as pricing tailwinds fade, with margins stabilizing near 21%. Tax rate normalized to 14% reflecting the historical average excluding the anomalously low early years. WACC derived using CAPM with 5.5% ERP and beta of 1.01, yielding ~9.95% cost of equity, blended with after-tax cost of debt given ~$2.3B debt and ~$12.7B market cap.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin45.2%

Operating Margin21.1%

Net Margin15.8%

ROIC16.3%

ROE65.2%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.84

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.10x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.4%

Altman Z-Score4.46 (Safe)

Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-38.6% CAGR (suspect)

Earnings CAGR-39.6% CAGR (suspect)

Growth ConsistencyCV: 9.32

Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)

Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑

Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOChristopher Novakovic · 3 years

CEO Ownership7.0%

Compensation81% performance-based

Insider ActivityBuying

Capital AllocationROIC 16.3% vs WACC 3.5%

Earnings Beat Rate88% (19/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 19, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.