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AMKR AMKR

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $67.37
Crucible Score
47.1
C-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
52.8
C
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
40.1
D
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” AMKR

AMKR trades near fair value at $67 versus a $68 base case, but the C- Crucible Score reflects mediocre fundamentals across most dimensions despite a solid 76% earnings beat rate. The stock's 86% performance-based compensation structure creates alignment, yet insider selling and weak value metrics at 40.1 suggest limited upside potential. Watch for operational improvements to justify current pricing.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
52.1
Growth Profile
53.8
Moat Durability
47.4
Management Effectiveness
56.0
Diversification & Resilience
47.2
Market Position
66.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (47.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
49.2
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
25.1
Relative Valuation
78.1
Growth-Adjusted Value
22.0
Historical Valuation
5.5
Macro Context
38.9

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$42.15
Base Case
$68.50
Bull Case
$105.80
Price at Analysis
$67.37
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$42.153.0%7.0%16.0%
🟒 Base$68.505.0%10.0%15.0%
🟒 Bull$105.808.0%13.0%14.0%
Key Assumptions: WACC is high at ~15% driven by AMKR's elevated beta of 1.95 and a 5.5% equity risk premium appropriate for the semiconductor sector. Revenue base anchored at ~$6.7B with historical CAGR near 2-3%, reflecting AMKR's position as an OSAT provider with cyclical but moderate growth. Operating margins have ranged from 7-13% historically; bear assumes reversion to low end (~7%), base assumes stabilization around 10%, and bull assumes sustained improvement toward 13% driven by advanced packaging tailwinds. Capex intensity averages ~13% of revenue consistent with the 5-year history, and tax rate is set at 14% reflecting the blended historical effective rate.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin14.0%
Operating Margin7.0%
Net Margin5.6%
ROIC6.0%
ROE12.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.27
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.51x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 13.5%
Altman Z-Score4.57 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR2.2% CAGR
Earnings CAGR-12.7% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.63
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership26.4%
Compensation86% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 6.0% vs WACC 3.8%
Earnings Beat Rate76% (16/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny