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APPF APPF

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 24, 2026
Price at analysis: $160.95
Crucible Score
59.8
C+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
65.0
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
53.4
C-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” APPF

APPF delivers solid operational fundamentals with strong financial quality (84) and durable competitive moats (80), though diversification remains a notable weakness at 47. The stock trades at a 15% discount to fair value despite a 76% earnings beat rate, creating an attractive entry point. APPF's consistent execution should drive multiple expansion as the market recognizes its defensive qualities.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
83.8
Growth Profile
68.5
Moat Durability
80.3
Management Effectiveness⚠
62.5
Diversification & Resilience
47.2
Market Position
62.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (47.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
60.9
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
43.6
Relative Valuation
56.6
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.0
Historical Valuation
76.4
Macro Context
49.6

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$112.50
Base Case
$185.30
Bull Case
$278.60
Price at Analysis
$160.95
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$112.508.0%18.0%8.9%
🟒 Base$185.3012.0%22.0%8.4%
🟒 Bull$278.6015.0%26.0%8.0%
Key Assumptions: Revenue grew from ~$359M to ~$951M over 5 years (~21% CAGR) with operating margins expanding from negative to ~16%. Base case assumes growth moderates to 12% as the company scales, with operating margins reaching 22% at terminal year reflecting continued SaaS operating leverage but below peak software margins given competitive dynamics. Bear case reflects macro headwinds in property management tech with 8% growth and margin stagnation at 18%, while bull case assumes sustained 15% growth with margins expanding to 26% on strong net retention and pricing power. WACC uses 0.80 beta with 5.5% ERP for base (software sector), adjusted +/-50bps for bear/bull. Capex intensity is minimal at ~0.5% of revenue consistent with asset-light SaaS model.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin63.1%
Operating Margin16.1%
Net Margin14.8%
ROIC22.1%
ROE14.5%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 3.20
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.69x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 0.3%
Altman Z-Score23.32 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR27.5% CAGR
Earnings CAGR-2.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.24
Segment Breadth1/1 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendMargin↓↓, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation73% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 22.1% vs WACC 8.9%
Earnings Beat Rate76% (17/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 24, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny