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Cadence Design Systems CDNS

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 14, 2026
Price at analysis: $281.39
Crucible Score
60.9
C+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
79.4
A-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
38.2
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” CDNS

Cadence Design Systems presents a classic quality-value disconnect, with exceptional fundamentals (88 financial quality, 100% earnings beat rate) trading at a significant discount to fair value. CDNS exhibits strong competitive positioning in electronic design automation software, though diversification remains limited at 53. The 11% upside to base case suggests the market hasn't fully recognized the company's execution consistency.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
88.1
Growth Profile
80.2
Moat Durability
82.3
Management Effectiveness
71.1
Diversification & Resilience
53.2
Market Position
83.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (53.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
58.6
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
27.1
Relative Valuation
18.5
Growth-Adjusted Value
20.6
Historical Valuation
65.9
Macro Context
29.8

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$198.52
Base Case
$312.45
Bull Case
$468.73
Price at Analysis
$281.39
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$198.528.0%30.0%9.9%
🟒 Base$312.4512.0%34.0%9.3%
🟒 Bull$468.7315.0%37.0%8.7%
Key Assumptions: Revenue growth anchored to 5-year historical CAGR of ~15.4%, with base case moderating to 12% reflecting maturation; operating margins held near historical ~30% range with modest expansion in bull case given software scalability. WACC derived from CAPM with 5.5% ERP and 1.02 beta, yielding ~10% cost of equity; tax rate normalized to ~22% reflecting recent trend toward higher effective rates versus earlier low-tax years. D&A-to-revenue ratio of ~4.4% and capex intensity of ~2.7% maintained consistent with asset-light EDA software model.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin96.2%
Operating Margin28.2%
Net Margin20.9%
ROIC14.0%
ROE27.5%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.86
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.43x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.7%
Altman Z-Score11.36 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR15.4% CAGR
Earnings CAGR12.4% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.27
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRevβ†˜+6%, Margin↑, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOLip-Bu Tan Β· 6 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation86% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 14.0% vs WACC 3.7%
Earnings Beat Rate100% (22/22)

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Analysis conducted March 14, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny