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CHD CHD

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $93.13
Crucible Score
60.1
C+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
59.9
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
60.4
C+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” CHD

Crucible Acquisition Corp (CHD) delivers mediocre performance across most metrics, with solid Financial Quality (80) offset by weak Growth Profile (49) and poor Diversification & Resilience (40). The stock trades at a 7% discount to fair value despite an impressive 82% earnings beat rate over 22 quarters. Insider selling activity suggests management lacks conviction in the current trajectory.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
79.5
Growth Profile⚠
49.2
Moat Durability
51.4
Management Effectiveness⚠
62.6
Diversification & Resilience
40.5
Market Position
62.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (40.5)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
62.7
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
57.3
Relative Valuation
50.7
Growth-Adjusted Value
61.5
Historical Valuation
76.9
Macro Context
56.3

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$72.50
Base Case
$99.80
Bull Case
$134.25
Price at Analysis
$93.13
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$72.502.5%14.5%7.2%
🟒 Base$99.803.5%17.5%6.7%
🟒 Bull$134.254.5%19.5%6.3%
Key Assumptions: WACC calculated using CAPM with 4.35% risk-free rate, 0.47 beta, and 5.5% ERP yielding ~7.0% cost of equity, blended with after-tax cost of debt (~4.0%) at ~25% debt weighting for WACCs of 6.3-7.2% across scenarios. Revenue growth anchored to historical 3-5% organic growth with operating margins mean-reverting toward 17-20% range given the volatile history spanning 11-21%. Capex intensity set at 2.8% of revenue reflecting the 5-year average, with FCF conversion remaining strong at 85-90% of EBITDA.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin44.7%
Operating Margin17.4%
Net Margin11.9%
ROIC10.6%
ROE21.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.07
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.48x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.0%
Altman Z-Score4.86 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-41.2% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-45.4% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 8.09
Segment BreadthInsufficient segments
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership1.6%
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 10.6% vs WACC 3.4%
Earnings Beat Rate82% (18/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny