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CPRT CPRT

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $33.02
Crucible Score
65.4
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
69.2
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
60.7
C+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” CPRT

Crucible Royalty Trust (CPRT) shows solid fundamentals with strong financial quality (81) and market position (80), but management effectiveness lags at just 53 amid insider selling. The B- grade reflects this quality-execution disconnect, though shares trade at a 14% discount to fair value. CPRT's performance hinges on whether new CEO Woodman can translate the company's strong foundation into consistent operational results.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
81.1
Growth Profile
68.5
Moat Durability⚠
74.5
Management Effectiveness
53.3
Diversification & Resilience⚠
47.0
Market Position
80.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (47.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
61.6
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
39.7
Relative Valuation
71.6
Growth-Adjusted Value
52.6
Historical Valuation
94.5
Macro Context
72.1

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$24.18
Base Case
$37.52
Bull Case
$56.89
Price at Analysis
$33.02
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$24.187.0%34.0%10.5%
🟒 Base$37.5210.0%37.0%9.7%
🟒 Bull$56.8913.0%40.0%9.0%
Key Assumptions: Revenue growth anchored to 5-year CAGR of ~14.6% but decelerating as CPRT matures; operating margins have compressed from 42.2% to 36.5% over the period, so base case assumes stabilization around 37% while bear assumes continued compression. WACC uses CAPM with 5.5% ERP and beta of 1.14, yielding ~10.6% cost of equity, adjusted modestly across scenarios given near-zero net debt. Capex intensity averaged ~11.5% of revenue over the period, maintained across scenarios.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin45.3%
Operating Margin36.5%
Net Margin33.8%
ROIC13.5%
ROE15.9%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetD/E: 0.01*, CR: 10.06* (* = TTM)
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.90x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 12.2%
Altman Z-Score27.00 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR14.6% CAGR
Earnings CAGR13.5% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.47
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↓, Margin↓, Cash↓, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityMixed

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEORyan Woodman Β· 3 years
CEO Ownership9.6%
Compensation53% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 13.5% vs WACC 10.8%
Earnings Beat Rate52% (11/22)

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Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny