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CRUS CRUS

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $167.80
Crucible Score
67.4
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
75.1
B+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
57.9
C
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” CRUS

Crucible (CRUS) presents a quality-value disconnect, with strong financial metrics (85) and moat durability (80) undermined by poor diversification (49) and modest value proposition (57.9). The company trades at a 15% discount to fair value despite CEO Wally Rhines delivering a 97% earnings beat rate over his tenure. Insider selling signals caution despite the apparent valuation opportunity.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
84.7
Growth Profile
65.0
Moat Durability
79.8
Management Effectiveness
76.4
Diversification & Resilience
49.2
Market Position
68.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (49.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
64.7
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
77.2
Relative Valuation
69.2
Growth-Adjusted Value
10.6
Historical Valuation
42.9
Macro Context
81.1

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$128.45
Base Case
$192.37
Bull Case
$283.60
Price at Analysis
$167.80
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$128.454.0%17.0%10.8%
🟒 Base$192.377.0%20.0%10.0%
🟒 Bull$283.6010.0%23.0%9.1%
Key Assumptions: CRUS revenue has been volatile around $1.7-1.9B with a 5-year CAGR of roughly 7%; operating margins have ranged from 13-22%. WACC is derived using CAPM with a 5.5% ERP for the base case (risk-free 4.32% + 1.08 Γ— ERP), adjusted Β±80bps across scenarios. Tax rate normalized to 21% reflecting recent US statutory rate, with capex intensity at ~2% of revenue consistent with the fabless semiconductor model.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin52.9%
Operating Margin23.1%
Net Margin20.5%
ROIC15.3%
ROE19.2%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetD/E: 0.12*, CR: 7.65* (* = TTM)
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.52x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.5%
Altman Z-Score16.69 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR8.5% CAGR
Earnings CAGR11.1% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 2.35
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOWally Rhines Β· 3 years
CEO Ownership1.2%
Compensation12% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 15.3% vs WACC 0.5%
Earnings Beat Rate97% (21/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny