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CW CW

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $735.65
Crucible Score
53.8
C
Quality × Value Composite
KQI — Quality
71.3
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI — Value
32.4
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict — CW

CW delivers solid operational quality with a 95% earnings beat rate and strong financial fundamentals, but trades at a steep valuation premium that creates minimal upside potential at current levels. The company's impressive execution consistency contrasts sharply with insider selling activity, suggesting management views the stock as fully valued. Fair value alignment near $743 offers little margin of safety for new positions.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
74.9
Growth Profile
73.6
Moat Durability
69.7
Management Effectiveness⚠
69.2
Diversification & Resilience
75.0
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Market Position (58.0)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
52.6
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
33.4
Relative Valuation
20.2
Growth-Adjusted Value
23.1
Historical Valuation
5.5
Macro Context
29.4

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$498.12
Base Case
$742.88
Bull Case
$1058.43
Price at Analysis
$735.65
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
🔴 Bear$498.125.5%16.5%9.8%
🟢 Base$742.888.0%18.2%9.1%
🟢 Bull$1058.4310.0%19.5%8.5%
Key Assumptions: Revenue grew at ~8.8% CAGR over the trailing 5 years with operating margins expanding from 15.1% to 18.2%; base case assumes moderation to 8% growth with stable margins near current levels. WACC derived using CAPM with 4.32% risk-free rate, 0.92 beta, and 5.5% ERP (sector-appropriate for A&D), yielding ~9.1% base WACC. FCF conversion remains strong at ~85% of EBITDA given low capex intensity (~2.6% of revenue) and modest working capital needs.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin37.2%
Operating Margin18.2%
Net Margin13.8%
ROIC12.0%
ROE15.5%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.44
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.14x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.6%
Altman Z-Score8.41 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR8.8% CAGR
Earnings CAGR16.5% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.81
Segment Breadth6/6 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Cash↓, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation65% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 12.0% vs WACC 2.6%
Earnings Beat Rate95% (20/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+
MethodologyAll ScoresCrucible BriefsPerformance@KaladinCI

Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence — Conviction Through Scrutiny