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DoorDash Inc. DASH

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 14, 2026
Price at analysis: $152.92
Crucible Score
50.2
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
55.0
C
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
44.3
D
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” DASH

DoorDash Inc. shows a stark contrast between its strong market position (72) and growth profile (71) versus critical weaknesses in management effectiveness (40) and diversification (20). DASH trades at a 9% discount to fair value despite insider selling and zero performance-based compensation alignment. The company's narrow focus and governance issues overshadow its delivery market dominance.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
59.1
Growth Profile⚠
71.2
Moat Durability
57.6
Management Effectiveness
39.8
Diversification & Resilience⚠
20.5
Market Position
72.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (20.5)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
58.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
31.5
Relative Valuation
19.7
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.0
Historical Valuation
94.5
Macro Context
24.2

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$108.52
Base Case
$168.74
Bull Case
$258.31
Price at Analysis
$152.92
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$108.5212.0%10.0%15.8%
🟒 Base$168.7416.0%13.0%14.9%
🟒 Bull$258.3120.0%16.0%14.3%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived from CAPM using 4.39% risk-free rate, 1.90 beta, and 5.5% ERP yielding ~14.9% base WACC, reflecting DASH's high-beta growth profile. Revenue growth anchored to the ~28% historical CAGR but decelerating materially over 10 years as food delivery matures; operating margins expand from ~5% currently toward 10-16% terminal range depending on scenario, reflecting the platform's demonstrated operating leverage but still-unproven sustained profitability at scale. Tax rate assumed at 15% given NOL carryforwards providing near-term shelter with gradual normalization.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin50.9%
Operating Margin5.3%
Net Margin6.8%
ROIC4.2%
ROE-16.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.41
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.95x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.9%
Altman Z-Score5.05 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR29.4% CAGR
Earnings CAGRInsufficient data
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.93
Segment BreadthInsufficient segments
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Misser

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation0% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 4.2% vs WACC 15.0%
Earnings Beat Rate50% (13/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 14, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny