ESLT ESLT

Name: ESLT Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored April 20, 2026

Price at analysis: $872.58

Crucible Score

50.2

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

65.5

B-

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

31.5

D-

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — ESLT

ESLT trades at a 9% discount to fair value despite solid operational metrics, including an 80% earnings beat rate and strong growth prospects (72 score). The stark quality-value disconnect—65.5 KQI versus 31.5 KVI—suggests the market is overly pessimistic about near-term prospects. Insider selling activity warrants monitoring, but current valuation creates compelling risk-adjusted upside for patient investors.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

62.5

Growth Profile

72.1

Moat Durability

69.8

Management Effectiveness⚠

57.7

Diversification & Resilience

58.0

Market Position

66.0

Weakest dimension: Management Effectiveness (57.7)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

59.1

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

13.9

Relative Valuation

18.5

Growth-Adjusted Value

34.9

Historical Valuation

5.5

Macro Context

22.0

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$628.42

Base Case

$952.37

Bull Case

$1384.15

Price at Analysis

$872.58

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$628.42	6.0%	7.5%	5.5%
🟢 Base	$952.37	9.0%	8.8%	4.5%
🟢 Bull	$1384.15	12.0%	10.0%	4.0%

Key Assumptions: ESLT's negative beta of -0.22 produces a CAPM cost of equity below the risk-free rate (4.32% - 0.22*5.5% = 3.11%), resulting in unusually low WACCs of 4.0-5.5% across scenarios after blending with cost of debt; this reflects the company's defensive characteristics as an Israeli defense contractor. Revenue growth anchored to the strong recent trajectory (24% YoY most recent year) moderating toward mid-single to low-double digits, with operating margins stabilizing around 7.5-10% consistent with the 4-9% historical range. FCF conversion improves as capex intensity normalizes near 3% of revenue versus the historical ~3% average.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin24.4%

Operating Margin8.5%

Net Margin6.7%

ROIC9.4%

ROE11.5%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.29

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.04x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.8%

Altman Z-Score4.19 (Safe)

Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR9.7% CAGR

Earnings CAGR17.0% CAGR

Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.87

Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)

Quarterly TrendRev∆, WC↓

Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%

Insider ActivitySelling

Capital AllocationROIC 9.4% vs WACC 3.9%

Earnings Beat Rate80% (16/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.