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EXLS EXLS

UnknownUnknownN/A๐Ÿ“… Scored April 5, 2026
Price at analysis: $30.94
Crucible Score
73.3
B+
Quality ร— Value Composite
KQI โ€” Quality
72.2
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI โ€” Value
74.6
B
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict โ€” EXLS

EXLS delivers solid fundamentals with an 80/80 combination in Financial Quality and Growth Profile, plus a stellar 92% earnings beat rate under CEO Rohit Verma's performance-driven leadership. The stock trades at a 15% discount to fair value despite strong execution, though weak Diversification & Resilience scores (48) signal concentration risk. EXLS offers quality at a reasonable price for investors comfortable with business model concentration.

โ€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

โ—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
80.4
Growth Profile
79.5
Moat Durabilityโš 
71.1
Management Effectiveness
75.8
Diversification & Resilience
47.8
Market Position
48.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (47.8)

โ—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
66.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
74.8
Relative Valuation
78.1
Growth-Adjusted Value
72.4
Historical Valuation
94.5
Macro Context
83.9

โ—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$24.18
Base Case
$35.72
Bull Case
$52.41
Price at Analysis
$30.94
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
๐Ÿ”ด Bear$24.188.0%13.5%9.2%
๐ŸŸข Base$35.7211.0%15.0%8.6%
๐ŸŸข Bull$52.4114.0%16.5%8.1%
Key Assumptions: Revenue growth anchored to 5-year historical CAGR of ~17% but decelerating as EXLS scales; operating margins range from slight compression (bear at 13.5%) to modest expansion (bull at 16.5%) versus recent 15%. WACC derived from CAPM with 5.5% ERP for IT services sector, yielding 8.1-9.2% across scenarios. FCF conversion assumes capex intensity stabilizes near 2.5-3% of revenue consistent with recent trend, with D&A roughly matching capex at maturity.

โ—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin38.4%
Operating Margin15.0%
Net Margin12.0%
ROIC17.3%
ROE15.7%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.56
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.19x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.5%
Altman Z-Score7.24 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR16.8% CAGR
Earnings CAGR21.6% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.54
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendWCโ†“
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

โ—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEORohit Verma ยท 3 years
CEO Ownership4.0%
Compensation92% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 17.3% vs WACC 3.4%
Earnings Beat Rate92% (19/22)

โ—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 5, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

ยฉ 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence โ€” Conviction Through Scrutiny