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FAST FAST

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 31, 2026
Price at analysis: $46.30
Crucible Score
50.8
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
67.2
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
30.7
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” FAST

Fast Radius (FAST) presents a classic quality-value split with strong Financial Quality (86) undermined by poor value metrics (KVI 30.7). The stock trades near fair value at $46 versus $47 base case, but weak growth prospects (42) and mediocre earnings consistency limit upside potential. FAST needs to demonstrate improved execution to justify its current valuation.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
86.1
Growth Profile
42.0
Moat Durability⚠
73.6
Management Effectiveness
65.7
Diversification & Resilience⚠
44.0
Market Position
62.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (42.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
55.3
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
26.7
Relative Valuation
20.0
Growth-Adjusted Value
11.4
Historical Valuation
11.4
Macro Context
36.2

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$33.12
Base Case
$46.85
Bull Case
$64.78
Price at Analysis
$46.30
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$33.124.0%18.5%9.5%
🟒 Base$46.856.0%20.2%8.9%
🟒 Bull$64.788.0%21.5%8.5%
Key Assumptions: Revenue growth anchored to 5-year historical CAGR of ~6.4%, with bear assuming macro slowdown to 4% and bull reflecting Onsite/digital acceleration at 8%. Operating margins held near historical 20% range with modest compression in bear (18.5%) and expansion in bull (21.5%) reflecting operating leverage. WACC derived from CAPM with 5.5% ERP for base (industrial distribution sector), adjusted +/- 50bps for bear/bull scenarios. Capex intensity maintained at ~3% of revenue consistent with asset-light distribution model.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin45.0%
Operating Margin20.2%
Net Margin15.3%
ROIC28.1%
ROE31.0%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 4.85
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.84x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.0%
Altman Z-Score32.35 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-39.2% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-39.3% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 17.56
Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Misser

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation82% performance-based
Insider ActivityNeutral
Capital AllocationROIC 28.1% vs WACC 1.1%
Earnings Beat Rate51% (12/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 31, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny