GEV logo

GE Vernova Inc. GEV

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 14, 2026
Price at analysis: $907.93
Crucible Score
41.4
D+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
56.4
C
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
23.1
F
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” GEV

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) trades at a 25% premium to fair value despite mediocre fundamentals, with the stark quality-value disconnect evident in its 56.4 quality score versus 23.1 value rating. GEV's strongest assets are its market position and competitive moat, but management effectiveness lags and insider selling signals internal skepticism. The premium valuation leaves little margin for execution missteps in the energy transition.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
50.4
Growth Profile
56.0
Moat Durability
66.7
Management Effectiveness⚠
44.7
Diversification & Resilience⚠
56.0
Market Position
71.0
Weakest dimension: Management Effectiveness (44.7)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
18.9
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
22.2
Relative Valuation
12.3
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.0
Historical Valuation
36.6
Macro Context
27.9

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$412.50
Base Case
$725.00
Bull Case
$1185.00
Price at Analysis
$907.93
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$412.506.0%8.0%10.5%
🟒 Base$725.009.0%11.0%10.0%
🟒 Bull$1185.0012.0%14.0%9.5%
Key Assumptions: GEV has shown dramatic margin recovery from deeply negative operating margins (-9.7%) to positive territory (3.6%) with revenue rebounding from ~$29.7B to ~$38B. Base case assumes continued margin expansion toward 11% terminal operating margin driven by power/electrification demand tailwinds and operational improvements, with mid-single-digit to high-single-digit revenue growth. Tax rate assumed at 15% reflecting historical tax benefits and credits; capex intensity is low at ~3% given asset-light pivot post-spin. WACC set at 10% using CAPM with 1.15 beta and 4.9% ERP, reflecting elevated sector risk premium for a company still proving sustained profitability.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin19.9%
Operating Margin3.7%
Net Margin12.8%
ROIC5.5%
ROE5.7%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.98
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.76x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.4%
Altman Z-Score3.46 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR3.6% CAGR
Earnings CAGR233.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 2.13
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRevβ†˜+4%, Margin↑
Earnings CredibilityMixed

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation85% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 5.5% vs WACC 10.8%
Earnings Beat Rate54% (9/16)

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Analysis conducted March 14, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny