GGG GGG

Name: GGG Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored April 5, 2026

Price at analysis: $84.62

Crucible Score

59.4

C+

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

67.4

B-

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

49.5

D+

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — GGG

GGG shows solid financial quality with a 90 score but struggles with growth execution, posting just a 27% earnings beat rate over 22 quarters. The stock trades near fair value at $85 versus a $88 base case, masking the underlying operational inconsistency that keeps dragging down performance metrics. Management needs to demonstrate more reliable earnings delivery to justify any premium valuation.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

89.9

Growth Profile

48.1

Moat Durability

64.5

Management Effectiveness

64.7

Diversification & Resilience⚠

56.0

Market Position

68.0

Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (48.1)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

58.2

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

49.0

Relative Valuation

58.8

Growth-Adjusted Value

11.9

Historical Valuation

64.2

Macro Context

59.4

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$62.18

Base Case

$88.45

Bull Case

$122.73

Price at Analysis

$84.62

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$62.18	2.5%	25.0%	10.0%
🟢 Base	$88.45	4.0%	27.5%	9.3%
🟢 Bull	$122.73	6.0%	30.0%	8.8%

Key Assumptions: GGG has demonstrated stable operating margins of 26-30% and modest revenue growth averaging ~3% over the trailing 5 years with revenue around $2.0-2.2B. WACC is derived using CAPM with a 5.6% ERP for industrials, yielding base WACC of 9.3%. Capex intensity has been volatile (2-9% of revenue) but is normalized at 5%; FCF conversion is strong historically at ~85-95% of EBITDA, and the near-zero net debt position adds minimal financial risk.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin52.5%

Operating Margin27.3%

Net Margin23.3%

ROIC17.5%

ROE25.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 3.15

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.23x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.0%

Altman Z-Score15.89 (Safe)

Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR3.0% CAGR

Earnings CAGR4.4% CAGR

Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.15

Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)

Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑

Earnings CredibilityConsistent Misser

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership2.2%

Compensation75% performance-based

Insider ActivityNeutral

Capital AllocationROIC 17.5% vs WACC 3.7%

Earnings Beat Rate27% (6/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted April 5, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.