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GILD GILD

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 18, 2026
Price at analysis: $137.70
Crucible Score
62.5
C+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
64.5
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
60.2
C+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” GILD

Gilead Sciences earns a middling C+ grade, held back by weak growth prospects and limited diversification despite solid financial fundamentals. The biotech trades at a modest discount to fair value with strong earnings consistency, but GILD's reliance on mature HIV franchises and tepid pipeline development constrain upside potential. Future performance hinges on successful late-stage drug approvals.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
88.6
Growth Profile
49.8
Moat Durability
50.9
Management Effectiveness
73.4
Diversification & Resilience⚠
48.0
Market Position
59.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (48.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
61.6
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
61.3
Relative Valuation
62.3
Growth-Adjusted Value
60.2
Historical Valuation
47.4
Macro Context
66.4

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$105.42
Base Case
$148.63
Bull Case
$207.85
Price at Analysis
$137.70
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$105.422.0%28.0%6.7%
🟒 Base$148.634.0%34.0%6.2%
🟒 Bull$207.856.0%40.0%5.8%
Key Assumptions: WACC is low (5.8-6.7%) reflecting GILD's very low beta of 0.37 and an equity risk premium of 5.5%. Revenue growth is modest (2-6% CAGR) given GILD's mature HCV franchise offset by HIV/oncology growth from Biktarvy and Trodelvy; operating margins range from 28% (bear, reflecting generic erosion and pipeline failures) to 40% (bull, reflecting successful pipeline commercialization and Veklury stabilization). Tax rate normalized to 20% given historical volatility between 13-31%, and capex intensity held at ~2% of revenue consistent with historical levels.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin80.8%
Operating Margin37.4%
Net Margin28.9%
ROIC17.8%
ROE26.0%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.68
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.11x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.9%
Altman Z-Score4.22 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR1.9% CAGR
Earnings CAGR8.1% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 180.84
Segment Breadth2/5 growing (40%)
Quarterly TrendMargin↑, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEODaniel O'Day Β· 8 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation88% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 17.8% vs WACC 3.3%
Earnings Beat Rate85% (19/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 18, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny