GSK logo

GSK GSK

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $58.35
Crucible Score
66.2
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
67.2
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
65.1
B-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” GSK

GlaxoSmithKline earns a solid B- grade driven by strong management effectiveness under Emma Walmsley's nine-year tenure and consistent earnings performance, but poor diversification scores and mediocre growth prospects limit upside potential. GSK trades at a modest 8% discount to fair value, offering reasonable entry for income-focused investors seeking pharmaceutical exposure with limited growth expectations.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
70.6
Growth Profile⚠
54.7
Moat Durability
70.3
Management Effectiveness⚠
73.6
Diversification & Resilience⚠
48.0
Market Position
68.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (48.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
58.7
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
64.2
Relative Valuation
95.0
Growth-Adjusted Value
33.3
Historical Valuation
76.9
Macro Context
87.7

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$42.18
Base Case
$62.74
Bull Case
$89.53
Price at Analysis
$58.35
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$42.182.0%18.0%6.3%
🟒 Base$62.744.0%22.0%6.1%
🟒 Bull$89.536.0%26.0%5.8%
Key Assumptions: WACC calculated using CAPM with 4.32% risk-free rate, 0.35 beta, and 5.5% ERP yielding ~6.2% cost of equity, blended with after-tax cost of debt (~3.5%) at ~40% debt weighting. Revenue growth anchored to historical ~5% CAGR with GSK's pipeline optionality (Shingrix, HIV, oncology) driving upside; bear case reflects patent cliff risks and pricing pressure compressing margins toward 18%. Tax rate set at 14% reflecting GSK's historical effective rate excluding one-time items, and capex intensity at 5.5% of revenue consistent with trailing averages.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin72.5%
Operating Margin21.9%
Net Margin17.5%
ROIC12.9%
ROE-178.5%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.82
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.88x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 4.1%
Altman Z-Score2.28 (Grey)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR7.2% CAGR
Earnings CAGR9.4% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 4.62
Segment BreadthInsufficient segments
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Marginβˆ†, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOEmma Walmsley Β· 9 years
Insider ActivityBuying
Capital AllocationROIC 12.9% vs WACC 3.1%
Earnings Beat Rate90% (18/20)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny