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ISRG ISRG

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 18, 2026
Price at analysis: $473.78
Crucible Score
53.2
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
65.4
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
38.3
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” ISRG

Intuitive Surgical shows the classic quality-value disconnect with strong fundamentals (85 financial quality, 79 market position) but poor value metrics dragging ISRG to a middling C rating. The robotic surgery leader trades near fair value despite management effectiveness concerns and recent insider selling. The 97% earnings beat rate suggests execution remains solid, but valuation leaves little margin for error.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
85.4
Growth Profile
52.0
Moat Durability
70.9
Management Effectiveness
46.0
Diversification & Resilience⚠
54.0
Market Position
79.0
Weakest dimension: Management Effectiveness (46.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
53.2
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
23.2
Relative Valuation
5.0
Growth-Adjusted Value
42.0
Historical Valuation
85.9
Macro Context
17.4

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$312.45
Base Case
$498.62
Bull Case
$742.18
Price at Analysis
$473.78
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$312.459.0%27.0%13.3%
🟒 Base$498.6212.0%30.0%12.7%
🟒 Bull$742.1815.0%34.0%12.1%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived from CAPM using 4.39% risk-free rate, 1.68 beta, and 5.25% ERP (base), yielding ~12.7% base WACC; bear/bull shift WACC by +/- 60bps via ERP adjustments. Revenue growth anchored on 5-year CAGR of ~12% with ISRG's procedure volume growth and international expansion; operating margins reflect historical 25-31% range with modest improvement in base/bull given scale leverage. Tax rate set at 12% reflecting historical effective rate, capex normalized at 7% of revenue after elevated recent investment cycle.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin66.0%
Operating Margin29.3%
Net Margin28.4%
ROIC13.4%
ROE14.1%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 4.87
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.87x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 5.4%
Altman Z-Score40.13 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-35.2% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-36.0% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 7.82
Segment Breadth3/3 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRevβ†’+19%, Margin↑, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOZiavash Shahidzadeh Β· 3 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation95% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 13.4% vs WACC 13.7%
Earnings Beat Rate97% (21/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 18, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny