MCO logo

MCO MCO

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 19, 2026
Price at analysis: $432.60
Crucible Score
68.7
B
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
76.2
B+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
59.4
C
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” MCO

MCO presents a quality-value disconnect with strong fundamentals but lackluster returns for shareholders. The company demonstrates exceptional financial quality (90) and consistent earnings execution (88% beat rate), yet trades at a 13% discount to fair value amid insider selling pressure. MCO's premium valuation multiple appears justified by operational excellence, making current levels attractive for patient investors.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
89.9
Growth Profile
68.3
Moat Durability⚠
68.6
Management Effectiveness⚠
70.7
Diversification & Resilience⚠
76.0
Market Position
72.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (68.3)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
65.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
41.3
Relative Valuation
57.3
Growth-Adjusted Value
62.5
Historical Valuation
88.1
Macro Context
35.0

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$338.52
Base Case
$487.15
Bull Case
$692.78
Price at Analysis
$432.60
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$338.526.0%39.0%12.1%
🟒 Base$487.159.0%43.0%11.1%
🟒 Bull$692.7812.0%47.0%10.3%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived using CAPM with 4.39% risk-free rate, 1.44 beta, and 5.25% ERP (base), yielding ~11.1% base WACC; bear/bull scenarios shift ERP by +/-50bps and adjust beta sensitivity. Revenue growth anchored to 5-year CAGR of ~5.6% with base case assuming moderate acceleration from debt issuance cycle recovery. Tax rate normalized at 20.7% reflecting 5-year average, and D&A assumed at ~5.5% of revenue converging over projection period.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin68.2%
Operating Margin44.5%
Net Margin31.9%
ROIC20.4%
ROE60.6%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.74
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.15x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 4.2%
Altman Z-Score5.40 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR5.6% CAGR
Earnings CAGR2.7% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.95
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation89% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 20.4% vs WACC 2.0%
Earnings Beat Rate88% (19/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 19, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny