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MDT MDT

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $86.19
Crucible Score
63.5
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
68.1
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
57.8
C
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” MDT

Medtronic scores a solid B- on financial quality and diversification strength, but growth remains the clear weakness at just 57 points despite CEO Geoff Martha's strong execution track record. MDT trades at a 7% discount to fair value, creating a reasonable entry point for investors willing to accept modest growth in exchange for stability. The earnings consistency suggests defensive appeal in uncertain markets.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
72.7
Growth Profile
57.1
Moat Durability
66.7
Management Effectiveness
68.0
Diversification & Resilience⚠
76.0
Market Position
68.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (57.1)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
63.6
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
53.2
Relative Valuation
77.4
Growth-Adjusted Value
17.2
Historical Valuation
79.3
Macro Context
58.4

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$68.42
Base Case
$92.57
Bull Case
$124.83
Price at Analysis
$86.19
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$68.422.5%16.0%8.9%
🟒 Base$92.574.0%18.0%8.4%
🟒 Bull$124.835.5%20.0%7.9%
Key Assumptions: Revenue growth anchored to historical ~2-4% organic growth with MDT's mature med-device portfolio; operating margins range from 16% (bear, reflecting pricing pressure and tariff headwinds) to 20% (bull, reflecting mix shift to higher-margin robotic surgery and diabetes platforms). WACC derived from CAPM using 0.76 beta with 5.5% ERP for base, adjusted +/-50bps for bear/bull; tax rate normalized at 17% reflecting MDT's Irish domicile advantage. D&A-to-capex convergence assumed over projection period with capex at ~5% of revenue.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin61.9%
Operating Margin17.9%
Net Margin13.0%
ROIC6.5%
ROE9.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetD/E: 0.57*, CR: 2.54* (* = TTM)
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.17x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 5.5%
Altman Z-Score2.87 (Grey)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR2.7% CAGR
Earnings CAGR6.6% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.80
Segment Breadth3/4 growing (75%)
Quarterly TrendMargin↑, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOGeoff Martha Β· 8 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation87% performance-based
Insider ActivityBuying
Capital AllocationROIC 6.5% vs WACC 2.0%
Earnings Beat Rate97% (21/22)

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Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny