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MNST MNST

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored March 19, 2026
Price at analysis: $73.21
Crucible Score
60.7
C+
Quality × Value Composite
KQI — Quality
73.0
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI — Value
45.7
D+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict — MNST

Monster Beverage (MNST) delivers exceptional financial quality with a 92 rating but trades at a significant premium that undermines its investment appeal, reflected in the weak 45.7 value score. The energy drink maker's strong market position and solid moat durability can't justify current pricing near fair value estimates. MNST requires multiple compression or accelerated growth to become compelling.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
92.4
Growth Profile
69.9
Moat Durability⚠
70.2
Management Effectiveness
68.5
Diversification & Resilience
39.8
Market Position
72.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (39.8)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
57.3
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
28.2
Relative Valuation
41.4
Growth-Adjusted Value
48.4
Historical Valuation
52.4
Macro Context
42.6

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$52.18
Base Case
$78.45
Bull Case
$115.62
Price at Analysis
$73.21
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
🔴 Bear$52.186.0%26.0%6.8%
🟢 Base$78.459.0%29.0%6.6%
🟢 Bull$115.6212.0%32.0%6.4%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived from CAPM using 4.39% risk-free rate, 0.44 beta, and 5.5% ERP yielding ~6.8% base cost of equity; zero debt capital structure means WACC equals cost of equity with minor scenario adjustments. Revenue growth anchored to 5-year CAGR of ~8.4% with operating margins mean-reverting from recent 29.2% peak toward sustainable mid-to-high 20s range. Capex intensity assumed at ~2.2% of revenue based on historical average excluding the anomalous low year, with modest working capital needs reflecting asset-light beverage model.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin55.8%
Operating Margin29.2%
Net Margin23.0%
ROIC21.8%
ROE23.0%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 3.70
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.03x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.6%
Altman Z-Score29.68 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR10.6% CAGR
Earnings CAGR8.4% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.33
Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityMixed

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEORodney C. Sacks · 24 years
CEO Ownership43.5%
Compensation86% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 21.8% vs WACC 6.9%
Earnings Beat Rate46% (10/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+
MethodologyAll ScoresCrucible BriefsPerformance@KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 19, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence — Conviction Through Scrutiny