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MSCI MSCI

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 31, 2026
Price at analysis: $544.78
Crucible Score
67.4
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
81.6
A-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
50.1
C-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” MSCI

MSCI delivers exceptional quality metrics with an 81.6 KQI score driven by strong management effectiveness and consistent earnings beats, but the 50.1 value score reflects stretched valuations at current levels. MSCI trades 12% below fair value estimates, creating a decent entry point for a business with durable competitive moats in financial data services. The quality justifies premium pricing for patient investors.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
80.5
Growth Profile
78.8
Moat Durability
75.0
Management Effectiveness
82.2
Diversification & Resilience⚠
76.0
Market Position
79.0
Weakest dimension: Moat Durability (75.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
63.0
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
49.3
Relative Valuation
21.1
Growth-Adjusted Value
34.8
Historical Valuation
91.5
Macro Context
41.1

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$410.52
Base Case
$612.35
Bull Case
$878.14
Price at Analysis
$544.78
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$410.527.0%50.0%11.1%
🟒 Base$612.3510.0%54.0%10.4%
🟒 Bull$878.1413.0%57.0%9.7%
Key Assumptions: MSCI's revenue CAGR over the trailing 5 years is approximately 11.3% with operating margins expanding from 52.5% to 54.7%, reflecting strong pricing power in index and analytics businesses. WACC is computed using CAPM with a 5.3% ERP for the base case (financial data/services sector), yielding 4.33% + 1.30 Γ— 5.3% = 11.2% before adjusting slightly across scenarios. Capex intensity is very low at ~1.2-1.5% of revenue historically, and negative equity reflects aggressive share buybacks funded by debt, which is incorporated via the net debt bridge to equity value.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin82.4%
Operating Margin54.7%
Net Margin38.4%
ROIC34.9%
ROE-186.7%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.90
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.29x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.3%
Altman Z-Score5.59 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR11.3% CAGR
Earnings CAGR13.4% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.29
Segment Breadth3/3 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendMargin↑, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOHenry Fernandez Β· 21 years
CEO Ownership3.8%
Compensation92% performance-based
Insider ActivityStrong Buying
Capital AllocationROIC 34.9% vs WACC 2.6%
Earnings Beat Rate89% (18/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 31, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny