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Micron Technology Inc. MU

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 14, 2026
Price at analysis: $367.65
Crucible Score
57.4
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
64.7
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
48.5
D+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” MU

Micron Technology Inc. (MU) shows solid fundamentals with strong Financial Quality (76) and Market Position (76) scores, but trades at fair value with limited upside potential. The memory chipmaker's biggest weakness lies in poor Diversification & Resilience (47), making MU vulnerable to cyclical downturns despite CEO Mehrotra's strong track record. Investors should monitor memory pricing cycles for entry opportunities.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
76.2
Growth Profile
67.8
Moat Durability
49.9
Management Effectiveness
70.0
Diversification & Resilience
47.2
Market Position
76.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (47.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
44.8
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
45.7
Relative Valuation
78.9
Growth-Adjusted Value
17.1
Historical Valuation
50.0
Macro Context
87.0

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$198.42
Base Case
$372.18
Bull Case
$588.75
Price at Analysis
$367.65
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$198.426.0%22.0%12.8%
🟒 Base$372.1810.0%27.0%12.3%
🟒 Bull$588.7514.0%32.0%11.8%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived using CAPM with 4.39% risk-free rate, 1.54 beta, and 5.5% ERP (base), yielding ~12.3% base WACC; bear/bull shift WACC by ~50bps. Capex intensity anchored at ~38% of revenue reflecting MU's heavy fab investment cycle (historical range 35-42%). Operating margins mean-revert from the cyclical peak of 31.5% toward a sustainable mid-cycle range of 22-32%, recognizing HBM/AI tailwinds in the bull case and potential DRAM/NAND oversupply risk in the bear case.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin45.3%
Operating Margin32.7%
Net Margin28.1%
ROIC10.0%
ROE12.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.46
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.00x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 42.4%
Altman Z-Score12.22 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR7.8% CAGR
Earnings CAGR9.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.87
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOSanjay Mehrotra Β· 9 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation99% performance-based
Insider ActivityStrong Buying
Capital AllocationROIC 10.0% vs WACC 2.5%
Earnings Beat Rate95% (20/22)

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Analysis conducted March 14, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny