MWA logo

MWA MWA

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 5, 2026
Price at analysis: $27.65
Crucible Score
64.4
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
64.8
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
63.8
C+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” MWA

MWA trades at a modest discount to fair value despite solid fundamentals, with strong financial quality (76) and consistent earnings execution (76% beat rate). The company's weak growth profile (47) and limited diversification (44) constrain the multiple, though insider buying signals management confidence. At current levels, MWA offers reasonable risk-adjusted returns for income-focused investors.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
76.4
Growth Profile
47.4
Moat Durability
68.0
Management Effectiveness
69.4
Diversification & Resilience⚠
44.0
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (44.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
58.4
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
35.7
Relative Valuation
89.6
Growth-Adjusted Value
81.4
Historical Valuation
66.4
Macro Context
68.9

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$19.82
Base Case
$30.14
Bull Case
$44.58
Price at Analysis
$27.65
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$19.823.0%13.0%11.1%
🟒 Base$30.145.0%16.0%10.1%
🟒 Bull$44.587.0%19.0%9.4%
Key Assumptions: Revenue grew from ~$1.1B to ~$1.43B over 5 years (~5.2% CAGR) with operating margins expanding from ~12% to ~18%. WACC derived via CAPM with 5.5% ERP for base (risk-free 4.31% + 1.16 Γ— 5.5% = 10.07%), adjusted Β±100bps for bear/bull. Capex intensity averaged ~3.7% of revenue; tax rate normalized at 24.5%. Bear assumes margin reversion toward mid-cycle ~13% and slower 3% growth; bull assumes continued margin expansion to 19% with 7% revenue growth driven by infrastructure spending tailwinds.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin37.0%
Operating Margin18.9%
Net Margin13.8%
ROIC11.9%
ROE14.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 4.02
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.87x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.3%
Altman Z-Score4.82 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-40.1% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-27.8% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 8.93
Segment Breadth1/2 growing (50%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership1.1%
Compensation71% performance-based
Insider ActivityBuying
Capital AllocationROIC 11.9% vs WACC 3.5%
Earnings Beat Rate76% (17/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 5, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny