NVIDIA Corporation NVDA

Name: NVDA Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

TechnologySemiconductorsNASDAQ📅 Scored March 14, 2026

Price at analysis: $178.68

Crucible Score

65.9

B-

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

80.5

A-

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

41.8

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation earns a solid B- grade driven by exceptional financial quality (92) and dominant market position (99) in AI semiconductors, though NVDA trades at a 6% premium to fair value with concerning low diversification scores (47). The stock's perfect earnings beat streak under founder-CEO Jensen Huang reflects strong execution, but investors should monitor whether the company can expand beyond its current AI-centric revenue concentration.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

91.7

Growth Profile

84.0

Moat Durability

68.2

Management Effectiveness

84.3

Diversification & Resilience

47.2

Market Position

99.0

Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (47.2)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

38.5

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

26.5

Relative Valuation

5.0

Growth-Adjusted Value

86.5

Historical Valuation

91.6

Macro Context

5.0

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$98.42

Base Case

$168.53

Bull Case

$272.18

Price at Analysis

$178.68

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$98.42	10.0%	38.0%	18.3%
🟢 Base	$168.53	15.0%	45.0%	17.5%
🟢 Bull	$272.18	20.0%	52.0%	16.7%

Key Assumptions: WACC derived from CAPM using 4.39% risk-free rate, beta of 2.38, and 5.5% ERP yielding ~17.5% base WACC, reflecting NVDA's high systematic risk. Revenue growth decelerates from the extraordinary ~100%+ recent rates toward sustainable mid-teens over 5 years, with terminal margins reflecting the competitive dynamics of the AI accelerator market. Tax rate assumed at 13% based on recent effective rates, and capex intensity at 3.5% of revenue consistent with the fabless semiconductor model.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin71.1%

Operating Margin60.4%

Net Margin55.6%

ROIC65.4%

ROE45.6%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 3.91

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.81x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.8%

Altman Z-Score58.03 (Safe)

Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR68.3% CAGR

Earnings CAGR87.3% CAGR

Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.82

Segment Breadth5/5 growing (100%)

Quarterly TrendRev∆, Margin↑, WC↓

Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

◆ Revenue Breakdown — FY2026

By Segment

Data Center89.7%

Gaming7.4%

Professional Visualization1.5%

Automotive1.1%

OEM And Other0.3%

By Geography

UNITED STATES69.3%

TAIWAN, PROVINCE OF CHINA19.6%

CHINA9.1%

Other Americas2.0%

Total Revenue

$215.9B

Fiscal Year 2026

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Analyst Price Targets

Avg Target (Last Quarter)$279.87

Analysts Covering (Quarter)15

Avg Target (Last Year)$244.15

Analysts (Year)67

Leadership & Governance

CEOJensen Huang(Founder) · 33 years

CEO Ownership4.2%

Compensation90% performance-based

Insider ActivitySelling

Capital AllocationROIC 65.4% vs WACC 1.8%

Earnings Beat Rate100% (22/22)

◆ Company Profile

NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and internationally. The company's Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and Omniverse software for building 3D designs and virtual worlds.

CEO

Jen-Hsun Huang

Employees

36000

Headquarters

Santa Clara, CA, US

IPO Date

January 22, 1999

Exchange

NASDAQ

Website

nvidia.com

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Technology companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 14, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.