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Oil States International OIS

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored March 16, 2026
Price at analysis: $11.94
Crucible Score
44.6
C-
Quality × Value Composite
KQI — Quality
40.3
D+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI — Value
49.9
D+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict — OIS

Oil States International (OIS) suffers from weak financial quality that drags down an otherwise mediocre profile, earning a C- grade with particularly poor earnings consistency at just 46% beat rate over 22 quarters. The stock trades at fair value around $12, but insider selling signals management's lack of confidence. Investors should wait for meaningful financial improvement before considering entry.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality⚠
20.4
Growth Profile
50.7
Moat Durability
46.1
Management Effectiveness⚠
46.8
Diversification & Resilience⚠
48.0
Market Position
32.0
Weakest dimension: Financial Quality (20.4)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
46.7
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
78.9
Relative Valuation
47.5
Growth-Adjusted Value
31.5
Historical Valuation
37.9
Macro Context
23.0

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$5.82
Base Case
$12.47
Bull Case
$22.35
Price at Analysis
$11.94
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
🔴 Bear$5.822.0%2.0%11.8%
🟢 Base$12.475.0%4.0%11.2%
🟢 Bull$22.358.0%6.0%10.5%
Key Assumptions: OIS has shown volatile revenue ($573M-$782M) with persistently thin or negative operating margins (-9.5% to 2.6%) and weak FCF generation. WACC is elevated at ~11% reflecting high beta (1.24) and a 5.5% ERP appropriate for cyclical oilfield services. Base case assumes gradual revenue recovery toward mid-cycle ~$740M with operating margins normalizing to 4%, while bear assumes prolonged energy capex downturn and bull assumes a sustained upcycle with margin improvement to 6%.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin13.4%
Operating Margin-50.0%
Net Margin-16.2%
ROIC-40.0%
ROE-12.3%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.86
Cash Conversion
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 4.7%
Altman Z-Score2.72 (Grey)
Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR3.9% CAGR
Earnings CAGR191.3% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 9.67
Segment Breadth1/2 growing (50%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↓↓
Earnings CredibilityMixed

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership6.8%
Insider ActivitySelling
Earnings Beat Rate46% (10/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+
MethodologyAll ScoresCrucible BriefsPerformance@KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 16, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence — Conviction Through Scrutiny