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PEB PEB

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $12.68
Crucible Score
54.4
C
Quality × Value Composite
KQI — Quality
50.6
C
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI — Value
59.1
C
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict — PEB

PEB delivers an impressive 92% earnings beat rate across 22 quarters, yet trades at a 15% discount to fair value with weak financial quality metrics dragging down overall performance. The company's solid moat durability (64) and growth profile contrast sharply with poor financial foundations and market positioning. Insider buying signals confidence, but financial quality improvements remain essential for sustained outperformance.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality⚠
29.7
Growth Profile
54.3
Moat Durability⚠
64.0
Management Effectiveness⚠
57.3
Diversification & Resilience⚠
50.0
Market Position
38.0
Weakest dimension: Financial Quality (29.7)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
56.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
90.9
Relative Valuation
60.9
Growth-Adjusted Value
28.9
Historical Valuation
54.0
Macro Context
23.0

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$7.82
Base Case
$14.53
Bull Case
$23.41
Price at Analysis
$12.68
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
🔴 Bear$7.822.0%4.0%12.2%
🟢 Base$14.533.5%5.5%11.3%
🟢 Bull$23.415.0%7.0%10.5%
Key Assumptions: PEB is a hotel REIT with historically thin operating margins (1-5%) and persistent net losses; WACC is elevated at 11-12% reflecting high beta of 1.43 and an equity risk premium of 5.5% appropriate for cyclical lodging REITs. Revenue recovered from a COVID trough of $733M to ~$1.48B, and base case assumes modest 3.5% CAGR with gradual margin improvement toward 5.5% as portfolio optimization continues. Capex intensity is anchored at ~6.5% of revenue reflecting ongoing property reinvestment needs, and the REIT structure implies near-zero effective tax rates.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin16.7%
Operating Margin2.7%
Net Margin-4.5%
ROIC1.2%
ROE-1.2%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.70
Cash Conversion
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 6.6%
Altman Z-Score0.20 (Distress)
Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR19.1% CAGR
Earnings CAGR-9.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 2.45
Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)
Quarterly TrendRev∆, Margin↓↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership3.1%
Insider ActivityBuying
Capital AllocationROIC 1.2% vs WACC 3.3%
Earnings Beat Rate92% (19/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+
MethodologyAll ScoresCrucible BriefsPerformance@KaladinCI

Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence — Conviction Through Scrutiny