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Public Service Enterprise Group PEG

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 16, 2026
Price at analysis: $80.95
Crucible Score
57.4
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
60.4
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
53.7
C-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” PEG

Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) delivers solid operational execution with strong management effectiveness and market position, but mediocre financial quality and growth prospects keep the overall profile unremarkable. The 6% upside to fair value offers limited appeal given the C-grade fundamentals. PEG's regulated utility framework provides stability, though investors should monitor whether management can translate operational strengths into improved financial metrics.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
52.9
Growth Profile
54.1
Moat Durability⚠
60.8
Management Effectiveness
68.8
Diversification & Resilience
52.5
Market Position
72.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (52.5)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
61.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
18.7
Relative Valuation
51.0
Growth-Adjusted Value
79.3
Historical Valuation
69.0
Macro Context
63.9

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$62.18
Base Case
$85.42
Bull Case
$115.63
Price at Analysis
$80.95
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$62.182.5%22.0%7.8%
🟒 Base$85.423.5%26.0%7.3%
🟒 Bull$115.634.5%30.0%6.8%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived using CAPM with 4.39% risk-free rate, 0.58 beta, and 5.5% ERP (base), yielding ~7.3% base WACC appropriate for a regulated utility. Revenue growth anchored to historical average around $10.6B with modest 2.5-4.5% growth reflecting regulated rate base expansion and infrastructure investment. Operating margins normalized between 22-30% reflecting the wide historical range (negative to 33%), with heavy capex (~25% of revenue) consistent with the 5-year average reflecting ongoing grid modernization. Effective tax rate set at 12% reflecting historical benefits from tax credits and deferred tax items common in utilities.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin69.0%
Operating Margin24.5%
Net Margin17.3%
ROIC4.8%
ROE9.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.80
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.13x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 16.8%
Altman Z-Score1.33 (Distress)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR5.7% CAGR
Earnings CAGR2.6% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 2.59
Segment Breadth5/5 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRevβˆ†, Marginβˆ†, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOJawaharial Iyer Β· 4 years
CEO Ownership25.1%
Compensation83% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 4.8% vs WACC 3.3%
Earnings Beat Rate78% (18/22)

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Analysis conducted March 16, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny