PTC logo

PTC PTC

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $143.80
Crucible Score
75.7
B+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
77.4
B+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
73.5
B
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” PTC

PTC delivers solid fundamentals with strong financial quality (83) and durable competitive moats (81), though a weak market position (58) limits near-term momentum. The stock trades at a 22% discount to fair value despite an impressive 86% earnings beat rate under CEO Barilan's performance-focused leadership. PTC's quality metrics suggest the valuation gap should narrow as market positioning improves.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
83.0
Growth Profile
74.3
Moat Durability
81.0
Management Effectiveness
72.5
Diversification & Resilience
81.2
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Market Position (58.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
71.9
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
56.6
Relative Valuation
77.5
Growth-Adjusted Value
81.4
Historical Valuation
94.5
Macro Context
78.6

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$118.52
Base Case
$175.43
Bull Case
$253.67
Price at Analysis
$143.80
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$118.527.0%34.0%9.8%
🟒 Base$175.4310.0%38.0%9.1%
🟒 Bull$253.6713.0%42.0%8.5%
Key Assumptions: PTC has demonstrated strong revenue growth (~11% CAGR over 5 years) with significant operating margin expansion from 21% to 36%, reflecting its successful SaaS transition. WACC is derived using CAPM with a 5.3% ERP given PTC's software profile and 1.06 beta, yielding 9.1% base case. Capex intensity is minimal at ~0.5% of revenue consistent with asset-light software model; FCF conversion remains robust across all scenarios with D&A declining as a percentage of revenue.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin84.2%
Operating Margin38.0%
Net Margin28.6%
ROIC13.3%
ROE8.4%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.22
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.09x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 0.4%
Altman Z-Score5.50 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR11.0% CAGR
Earnings CAGR11.4% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.70
Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, Cash↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEONeil Barilan Β· 3 years
CEO Ownership7.0%
Compensation96% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 13.3% vs WACC 4.4%
Earnings Beat Rate86% (18/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny