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RL RL

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 19, 2026
Price at analysis: $345.93
Crucible Score
56.2
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
69.8
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
39.5
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” RL

RL demonstrates strong operational fundamentals with impressive financial quality (80) and management effectiveness (82), plus a perfect earnings beat streak across 22 quarters. The stock trades at a 7% discount to fair value despite solid execution, though weak growth prospects (46) and insider selling activity present headwinds. The quality-value disconnect suggests limited upside until growth acceleration materializes.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
80.4
Growth Profile
46.4
Moat Durability⚠
70.6
Management Effectiveness⚠
81.7
Diversification & Resilience⚠
58.0
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (46.4)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
49.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
31.7
Relative Valuation
56.0
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.5
Historical Valuation
14.2
Macro Context
19.3

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$248.52
Base Case
$370.15
Bull Case
$518.74
Price at Analysis
$345.93
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$248.523.0%11.5%12.3%
🟒 Base$370.155.0%13.0%11.8%
🟒 Bull$518.747.0%14.5%11.2%
Key Assumptions: Revenue base of ~$7.1B with 3-7% CAGR across scenarios reflecting RL's luxury positioning and DTC shift; operating margins anchored to recent 11-13% range with bear assuming reversion toward lower end and bull reflecting continued mix improvement. WACC derived using CAPM with 5.5% ERP and beta of 1.49, yielding cost of equity ~12.6%, blended with after-tax cost of debt ~4.5% at ~30% debt weighting. Capex intensity held at ~3% of revenue consistent with asset-light model, and D&A assumed to roughly offset maintenance capex over time.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin69.6%
Operating Margin15.0%
Net Margin11.7%
ROIC13.5%
ROE31.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetD/E: 1.39*, CR: 2.10* (* = TTM)
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.76x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.1%
Altman Z-Score5.89 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-36.7% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-33.7% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 3.53
Segment Breadth3/4 growing (75%)
Quarterly TrendRevβ†˜+12%, Marginβˆ†, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership4.0%
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 13.5% vs WACC 1.3%
Earnings Beat Rate100% (22/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 19, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny