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RMBS RMBS

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $91.68
Crucible Score
58.5
C+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
72.3
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
41.5
D
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” RMBS

Rambus Inc. (RMBS) presents a stark quality-value disconnect, with solid fundamentals (86 Financial Quality, 78 Moat Durability) undermined by poor earnings execution and tepid growth prospects. The 43% earnings beat rate under CEO Robert Merck reflects operational inconsistency despite performance-based compensation alignment. Trading 11% below fair value, RMBS offers modest upside contingent on improved earnings predictability.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
85.8
Growth Profile
68.8
Moat Durability
78.5
Management Effectiveness
63.6
Diversification & Resilience
52.2
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (52.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
57.3
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
29.1
Relative Valuation
22.9
Growth-Adjusted Value
47.7
Historical Valuation
42.3
Macro Context
46.2

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$62.45
Base Case
$102.18
Bull Case
$158.73
Price at Analysis
$91.68
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$62.456.0%30.0%13.3%
🟒 Base$102.1810.0%35.0%12.3%
🟒 Bull$158.7314.0%40.0%11.3%
Key Assumptions: RMBS has shown strong revenue recovery from $328M to $708M with expanding margins, reflecting growing demand for memory interface and silicon IP licensing. WACC is elevated at ~12.3% base given high beta of 1.63 and 5.5% ERP appropriate for semiconductor sector cyclicality. Tax rate normalized to 15% reflecting historical variability and IP-heavy business structure with significant deferred tax assets; capex remains light at ~4% of revenue consistent with asset-light licensing model.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin76.0%
Operating Margin36.8%
Net Margin32.6%
ROIC14.5%
ROE3.3%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 8.20
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.44x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.8%
Altman Z-Score38.19 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR21.2% CAGR
Earnings CAGR141.1% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.98
Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)
Quarterly TrendRevβ†’+18%, Marginβˆ†, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityMixed

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEORobert Merck Β· 8 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation92% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 14.5% vs WACC 2.5%
Earnings Beat Rate43% (9/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny