ROL ROL

Name: ROL Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored March 19, 2026

Price at analysis: $53.70

Crucible Score

55.2

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

71.4

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

35.3

D-

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — ROL

ROL presents a stark quality-value disconnect, with solid financial metrics (85 quality score) undermined by poor value proposition (35.3 KVI) and weak diversification (44). The pest control company trades near fair value at $54 versus $52 base case, but insider selling and a dismal 37% earnings beat rate signal execution concerns. Growth sustainability remains the key question given the narrow business focus.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

84.6

Growth Profile

70.6

Moat Durability⚠

73.8

Management Effectiveness⚠

66.8

Diversification & Resilience⚠

44.0

Market Position

62.0

Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (44.0)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

48.9

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

29.6

Relative Valuation

18.1

Growth-Adjusted Value

23.4

Historical Valuation

56.2

Macro Context

33.3

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$35.82

Base Case

$52.14

Bull Case

$74.50

Price at Analysis

$53.70

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$35.82	6.5%	18.5%	8.9%
🟢 Base	$52.14	8.5%	19.5%	8.4%
🟢 Bull	$74.50	10.0%	21.0%	8.0%

Key Assumptions: ROL has demonstrated consistent ~9.2% revenue CAGR over the trailing 5 years with stable operating margins near 18.5-19.4%. WACC is derived using CAPM with 4.39% risk-free rate, 0.80 beta, and 5.5% ERP for base (yielding ~8.4%), with bear/bull adjusting ERP between 5.65% and 5.12%. FCF conversion is strong at ~76% of EBITDA; capex intensity is very low at ~0.8% of revenue, reflecting an asset-light pest control services model with acquisition-driven growth.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin51.9%

Operating Margin19.3%

Net Margin14.0%

ROIC21.0%

ROE31.5%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.60

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.24x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 0.7%

Altman Z-Score11.21 (Safe)

Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR11.6% CAGR

Earnings CAGR10.2% CAGR

Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.22

Segment Breadth3/4 growing (75%)

Quarterly TrendMargin↑, WC↓

Earnings CredibilityMixed

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership5.8%

Insider ActivitySelling

Capital AllocationROIC 21.0% vs WACC 1.7%

Earnings Beat Rate37% (11/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 19, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.