RTX logo

RTX Corporation RTX

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 14, 2026
Price at analysis: $193.31
Crucible Score
54.8
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
65.9
B-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
41.3
D
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” RTX

RTX Corporation earns a middling C grade, held back by weak valuation metrics despite solid operational fundamentals including perfect earnings execution and strong diversification. The 18% gap between current price and fair value suggests modest upside, but insider selling raises questions about management's confidence. RTX's defense exposure should benefit from elevated geopolitical tensions ahead.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
58.7
Growth Profile
62.8
Moat Durability
68.0
Management Effectiveness
65.2
Diversification & Resilience
79.0
Market Position
68.0
Weakest dimension: Financial Quality (58.7)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
64.0
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
32.3
Relative Valuation
38.7
Growth-Adjusted Value
31.4
Historical Valuation
11.0
Macro Context
41.5

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$152.40
Base Case
$210.55
Bull Case
$285.30
Price at Analysis
$193.31
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$152.404.0%9.0%7.0%
🟒 Base$210.556.0%10.5%6.5%
🟒 Bull$285.308.0%12.0%5.9%
Key Assumptions: WACC derived using CAPM with 4.39% risk-free rate, 0.41 beta, and 5.5% ERP yielding ~6.65% cost of equity, blended with after-tax cost of debt (~4.2%) at ~40% debt weighting for base WACC of ~6.45%. Revenue growth anchored to recent trajectory of ~8% YoY with normalization toward GDP+ rates; operating margins trend from ~10% current toward 9-12% terminal range reflecting aerospace aftermarket mix shift and defense margin stability. Bear case assumes supply chain headwinds and defense budget pressure compress margins; bull case reflects strong commercial aftermarket growth and margin expansion from Pratt & Whitney GTF fleet maturation.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin20.1%
Operating Margin10.0%
Net Margin7.6%
ROIC5.9%
ROE9.2%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.03
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.18x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.0%
Altman Z-Score2.76 (Grey)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR8.3% CAGR
Earnings CAGR14.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 2.41
Segment Breadth3/3 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRevβˆ†, Margin↑, Cash↓, WC↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOThomas A. Kennedy Β· 12 years
CEO Ownership5.7%
Compensation95% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 5.9% vs WACC 3.7%
Earnings Beat Rate100% (18/18)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 14, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny