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SCHW SCHW

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $92.28
Crucible Score
61.2
C+
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
63.0
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
58.9
C
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” SCHW

Charles Schwab (SCHW) presents a decent quality business trading at a modest discount to fair value, with strong financial metrics offset by concerning diversification weaknesses and recent insider selling despite an 83% earnings beat rate. The 11% upside to base case looks reasonable given the solid moat and market position, though concentration risks warrant monitoring in a shifting brokerage landscape.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
74.4
Growth Profile
66.9
Moat Durability⚠
53.5
Management Effectiveness
62.7
Diversification & Resilience⚠
48.0
Market Position
68.0
Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (48.0)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
61.3
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
42.7
Relative Valuation
67.1
Growth-Adjusted Value
53.6
Historical Valuation
80.5
Macro Context
60.0

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$68.42
Base Case
$102.15
Bull Case
$145.73
Price at Analysis
$92.28
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$68.425.0%38.0%9.7%
🟒 Base$102.158.0%44.0%8.7%
🟒 Bull$145.7311.0%48.0%8.1%
Key Assumptions: Revenue base anchored at ~$27.7B with most recent year showing strong recovery to 49% operating margins after TD Ameritrade integration headwinds. Bear case assumes margin normalization to 38% with modest 5% revenue growth reflecting rate sensitivity and competitive pressures. Bull case assumes sustained margin expansion to 48% driven by operating leverage on the integrated platform and continued asset gathering momentum, with 11% revenue CAGR supported by organic growth and net new asset inflows.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin85.8%
Operating Margin44.9%
Net Margin33.3%
ROIC10.2%
ROE13.7%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 16.22
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.27x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.0%
Altman Z-Score88095.10 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score8/9 (Strong)

Growth

Revenue CAGR5.9% CAGR
Earnings CAGR10.9% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.30
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendMargin↑, Cash↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOWalt Bettinger Β· 18 years
CEO Ownership6.3%
Compensation69% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 10.2% vs WACC 9.6%
Earnings Beat Rate83% (15/19)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny