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SNOW SNOW

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 27, 2026
Price at analysis: $151.85
Crucible Score
53.5
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
62.2
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
42.8
D
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” SNOW

Snowflake shows the classic high-growth tech profile with exceptional growth metrics (83) and strong competitive positioning, but financial quality lags significantly at just 31 despite a 94% earnings beat rate under Frank Slootman's leadership. SNOW trades at a 14% discount to fair value, creating an interesting entry point for investors willing to bet on continued execution in the cloud data platform space.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality⚠
31.4
Growth Profile
83.2
Moat Durability
78.8
Management Effectiveness
57.6
Diversification & Resilience
51.2
Market Position
73.0
Weakest dimension: Financial Quality (31.4)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
59.0
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
27.7
Relative Valuation
41.6
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.0
Historical Valuation
50.0
Macro Context
10.4

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$105.42
Base Case
$172.38
Bull Case
$274.91
Price at Analysis
$151.85
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$105.4218.0%15.0%11.1%
🟒 Base$172.3822.0%20.0%10.5%
🟒 Bull$274.9127.0%25.0%9.9%
Key Assumptions: SNOW remains deeply unprofitable on a GAAP basis but generates strong FCF (~24% margin most recent year) due to heavy stock-based compensation. Revenue growth is decelerating from ~70% to ~29% YoY; projections assume continued deceleration toward 10-15% terminal growth. Operating margins are assumed to turn positive by years 3-5 as the company scales, reaching 15-25% by year 10 depending on scenario, reflecting the transition from hypergrowth to mature SaaS economics. WACC uses CAPM with 5.5% ERP and beta of 1.21, with scenario adjustments of +/- 60bps. Net debt is approximately -$87M (net cash position).

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin67.2%
Operating Margin-30.6%
Net Margin-28.4%
ROIC-29.1%
ROE-5.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.30
Cash Conversion
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.2%
Altman Z-Score3.07 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score4/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR40.0% CAGR
Earnings CAGR26.2% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.64
Segment Breadth2/2 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendMargin↑, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOFrank Slootman Β· 7 years
CEO Ownership6.8%
Compensation99% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Earnings Beat Rate94% (21/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 27, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny