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SPGI SPGI

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 20, 2026
Price at analysis: $442.57
Crucible Score
64.2
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
69.0
B
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
58.3
C
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” SPGI

S&P Global (SPGI) demonstrates solid fundamentals with strong growth prospects (80) and market position (78), though moat durability lags at 58 in an increasingly competitive data landscape. The stock trades at a 16% discount to fair value despite an 81% earnings beat rate under long-tenured CEO Peterson. SPGI's premium valuation multiple depends on maintaining pricing power as financial data commoditizes.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
74.0
Growth Profile
79.8
Moat Durability⚠
58.3
Management Effectiveness
62.2
Diversification & Resilience⚠
74.0
Market Position
78.0
Weakest dimension: Moat Durability (58.3)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
71.3
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
48.2
Relative Valuation
55.8
Growth-Adjusted Value
34.0
Historical Valuation
86.0
Macro Context
49.0

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$371.42
Base Case
$512.68
Bull Case
$698.15
Price at Analysis
$442.57
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$371.426.0%40.0%10.5%
🟒 Base$512.688.0%43.0%9.7%
🟒 Bull$698.1510.0%46.0%8.9%
Key Assumptions: SPGI revenue grew from ~$8.3B to ~$15.3B over 5 years driven by the IHS Markit merger; post-integration organic growth is assumed at 6-10% depending on scenario. Operating margins normalized around 42-44% after merger integration costs, with bear case assuming regulatory/competitive pressure compressing margins to 40% and bull case reflecting operating leverage to 46%. WACC range of 8.9-10.5% reflects CAPM with 1.20 beta and equity risk premium of 4.5-5.5% plus debt cost blended at current leverage ratios.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin70.2%
Operating Margin42.2%
Net Margin29.2%
ROIC9.0%
ROE1.9%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 0.82
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.22x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.3%
Altman Z-Score4.28 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR16.6% CAGR
Earnings CAGR10.3% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.72
Segment Breadth4/4 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Margin↑, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEODouglas L. Peterson Β· 14 years
CEO Ownership17.5%
Compensation92% performance-based
Insider ActivityNeutral
Capital AllocationROIC 9.0% vs WACC 1.6%
Earnings Beat Rate81% (19/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted April 20, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny