TDG TDG

Name: TDG Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored March 19, 2026

Price at analysis: $1156.49

Crucible Score

65.0

B-

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

74.0

B+

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

53.9

C-

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — TDG

TDG delivers solid operational execution with a 79% earnings beat rate and strong financial quality (82), but trades at an 11% discount to fair value despite insider buying activity. The company shows decent fundamentals across most metrics, though diversification remains a weakness at 54. The valuation gap suggests the market hasn't fully recognized TDG's consistent performance delivery.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

81.9

Growth Profile

76.2

Moat Durability

67.8

Management Effectiveness

75.3

Diversification & Resilience

54.0

Market Position

76.0

Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (54.0)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

53.5

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

31.8

Relative Valuation

44.6

Growth-Adjusted Value

86.5

Historical Valuation

90.6

Macro Context

5.0

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$872.54

Base Case

$1289.37

Bull Case

$1842.15

Price at Analysis

$1156.49

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$872.54	6.0%	42.0%	9.5%
🟢 Base	$1289.37	9.0%	46.0%	8.9%
🟢 Bull	$1842.15	12.0%	49.0%	8.4%

Key Assumptions: TDG has demonstrated strong revenue growth (~13% 5-yr CAGR) and expanding operating margins from 35% to 47%, driven by its proprietary aerospace aftermarket model with significant pricing power. Base case assumes moderation to ~9% revenue CAGR as the post-COVID recovery normalizes, with margins stabilizing near 46%. WACC calculated using CAPM with 5.5% ERP for bear, 5.0% for base, and 4.9% for bull, reflecting TDG's defensive aerospace aftermarket positioning but elevated leverage (net debt ~$27B vs negative equity). FCF conversion remains high given low capex intensity (~2.5% of revenue) and asset-light model.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin59.0%

Operating Margin46.5%

Net Margin21.6%

ROIC14.9%

ROE-35.9%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.75

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 0.95x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 2.5%

Altman Z-Score1.86 (Grey)

Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR16.5% CAGR

Earnings CAGR32.2% CAGR

Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.96

Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)

Quarterly TrendMargin↑, Cash↓

Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership3.2%

Compensation94% performance-based

Insider ActivityBuying

Capital AllocationROIC 14.9% vs WACC 4.1%

Earnings Beat Rate79% (17/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 19, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.