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TDY TDY

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored April 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $630.51
Crucible Score
53.8
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
62.8
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
42.8
D
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” TDY

TDY presents a classic quality-value disconnect, with solid financial metrics (70 quality score) undermined by poor value proposition (42.8 score) at current levels. The 86% earnings beat rate under long-tenured CEO Macrakis demonstrates execution consistency, but insider selling signals caution despite 8% upside to fair value. Growth acceleration remains the key catalyst for meaningful outperformance.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
70.1
Growth Profile
48.4
Moat Durability
63.5
Management Effectiveness⚠
62.7
Diversification & Resilience
75.2
Market Position
58.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (48.4)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
62.8
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
35.7
Relative Valuation
53.8
Growth-Adjusted Value
10.7
Historical Valuation
24.1
Macro Context
54.6

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$488.72
Base Case
$680.15
Bull Case
$918.43
Price at Analysis
$630.51
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$488.724.0%17.0%10.0%
🟒 Base$680.156.0%19.0%9.4%
🟒 Bull$918.438.0%21.0%8.9%
Key Assumptions: Revenue grew from ~$4.6B to ~$6.1B over 5 years (~5.8% CAGR); operating margins averaged ~17-19% with recent improvement. WACC derived using CAPM with 4.35% risk-free rate, 1.01 beta, and 5.5% ERP (base ~9.4%). Tax rate normalized at 13.5% reflecting historical average excluding anomalous low years; capex intensity is very low at ~1.8% of revenue. Bear assumes macro headwinds slow growth to 4% with slight margin compression; bull assumes defense/instrumentation tailwinds drive 8% growth with margin expansion to 21%.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin39.2%
Operating Margin18.8%
Net Margin14.6%
ROIC6.8%
ROE10.8%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.64
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.20x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.9%
Altman Z-Score5.03 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-39.7% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-33.0% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 11.46
Segment Breadth3/4 growing (75%)
Quarterly TrendRevβ†˜+7%, Margin↑, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOKristie M. Macrakis Β· 12 years
CEO Ownership1.3%
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 6.8% vs WACC 1.8%
Earnings Beat Rate86% (15/18)

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Analysis conducted April 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny