US Foods Holding Corp. USFD

Name: USFD Crucible Score
Creator: Kaladin Capital Intelligence

UnknownUnknownN/A📅 Scored March 17, 2026

Price at analysis: $92.80

Crucible Score

61.9

C+

Quality × Value Composite

KQI — Quality

61.5

C+

Fundamental Quality Index

KVI — Value

62.5

C+

Valuation Attractiveness Index

Crucible Verdict — USFD

US Foods Holding Corp. earns a middling C+ score despite strong growth prospects and competitive positioning, dragged down by weak diversification and modest financial quality metrics. USFD trades near fair value at $93 versus a $97 base case, though insider selling raises questions about management's confidence in the food distribution giant's near-term trajectory.

— Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

◆ KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality

58.8

Growth Profile⚠

68.6

Moat Durability⚠

69.0

Management Effectiveness⚠

55.3

Diversification & Resilience⚠

42.0

Market Position

62.0

Weakest dimension: Diversification & Resilience (42.0)

◆ KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety

58.4

FCF Yield & Cash Returns

63.0

Relative Valuation

69.4

Growth-Adjusted Value

78.5

Historical Valuation

38.3

Macro Context

55.0

◆ DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case

$68.50

Base Case

$97.20

Bull Case

$134.80

Price at Analysis

$92.80

Scenario	Fair Value	Rev CAGR (5yr)	Terminal Margin	WACC
🔴 Bear	$68.50	3.0%	2.8%	9.8%
🟢 Base	$97.20	4.5%	3.2%	9.2%
🟢 Bull	$134.80	6.0%	3.8%	8.7%

Key Assumptions: Revenue growth anchored to historical 5-year CAGR of ~6% (including COVID recovery); normalized to 3-6% forward range reflecting mature food distribution industry dynamics. Operating margins trend from current ~3.1% with bear assuming competitive pressure back toward 2.8%, base holding at 3.2% with modest efficiency gains, and bull expanding to 3.8% on mix shift toward higher-margin independent restaurants and private label. Capex intensity of ~1.05% of revenue reflects recent trend; net debt of ~$5.7B subtracted from enterprise value across all scenarios.

◆ Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin17.4%

Operating Margin3.3%

Net Margin1.7%

ROIC8.8%

ROE8.9%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.16

Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.42x

Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 1.0%

Altman Z-Score4.63 (Safe)

Piotroski F-Score6/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR7.5% CAGR

Earnings CAGR42.5% CAGR

Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.55

Segment Breadth6/7 growing (86%)

Quarterly TrendNo quarterly data

Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

◆ Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%

Compensation80% performance-based

Insider ActivitySelling

Capital AllocationROIC 8.8% vs WACC 4.0%

Earnings Beat Rate70% (15/22)

◆ Related Companies in Our Universe

Other Unknown companies scored by the Crucible:

ADBE81.8A-NICE80.7A-DECK79.9A-INTU79.9A-EXEL78.3A-MTCH78.2A-TTD78.0B+

Methodology All Scores Crucible Briefs Performance @KaladinCI

Analysis conducted March 17, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.