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Visa Inc. V

Financial ServicesFinancial - Credit ServicesNYSEπŸ“… Scored March 7, 2026
Price at analysis: $304.91
Crucible Score
65.0
B-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
80.2
A-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
49.1
D+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” V

Visa Inc. (V) demonstrates exceptional financial quality and market dominance but trades at a premium that leaves little margin for error. The payment giant's 91% earnings beat rate and fortress-like moat justify investor confidence, yet V sits just 11% below fair value despite its B- overall score. Future growth acceleration will be critical to validate current valuations.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
91.2
Growth Profile
72.6
Moat Durability⚠
73.2
Management Effectiveness
70.6
Diversification & Resilience
79.8
Market Position
88.0
Weakest dimension: Management Effectiveness (70.6)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
67.1
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
46.4
Relative Valuation
45.7
Growth-Adjusted Value
36.5
Historical Valuation
37.9
Macro Context
7.6

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$248.72
Base Case
$338.15
Bull Case
$452.89
Price at Analysis
$304.91
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$248.727.0%58.0%8.8%
🟒 Base$338.159.0%61.0%8.3%
🟒 Bull$452.8911.0%64.0%7.8%
Key Assumptions: Revenue grew at ~13.5% CAGR over the 5-year history; base case moderates to 9% reflecting maturation of core payments while maintaining digital commerce tailwinds. Operating margins held steady at 60-66% historically; terminal margins reflect slight normalization in bear (58%) and modest expansion in bull (64%) given operating leverage. WACC derived from CAPM with 5.5% ERP and 0.79 beta, yielding ~8.25% base, adjusted +/-50-60bps for bear/bull scenarios. Tax rate stabilized near 17.5% based on recent trend. Capex intensity remains low at ~3.7% of revenue consistent with asset-light model.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin81.1%
Operating Margin59.2%
Net Margin50.2%
ROIC28.4%
ROE35.6%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 1.11
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.10x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 3.7%
Altman Z-Score7.94 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR13.5% CAGR
Earnings CAGR13.0% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 0.62
Segment Breadth4/5 growing (80%)
Quarterly TrendRev↑, Marginβ†˜, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityTends to Beat

β—† Revenue Breakdown β€” FY2025

By Segment

Data Processing Revenues50.0%
Service43.8%
International Transaction Revenues35.4%
Service, Other10.1%
Client Incentives-39.4%

By Geography

Non-US60.9%
UNITED STATES39.1%
Total Revenue
$40.0B
Fiscal Year 2025

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Analyst Price Targets

Avg Target (Last Quarter)$360.11
Analysts Covering (Quarter)9
Avg Target (Last Year)$387.58
Analysts (Year)19

Leadership & Governance

CEORyan McInerney Β· 7 years
CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation93% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 28.4% vs WACC 1.8%
Earnings Beat Rate91% (20/22)

β—† Company Profile

Visa Inc. operates as a payments technology company worldwide.

CEO
Ryan McInerney
Employees
28800
Headquarters
San Francisco, CA, US
IPO Date
March 19, 2008
Exchange
NYSE

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 7, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny