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Village Farms International VFF

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 17, 2026
Price at analysis: $2.81
Crucible Score
49.7
C-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
49.5
C-
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
49.9
D+
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” VFF

Village Farms International (VFF) earns a lackluster C- grade with particularly weak growth prospects (40) and resilience (42) dragging down an otherwise mediocre profile. The company trades at fair value around $3, but CEO Steve Jump's poor 29% earnings beat rate and insider selling signal execution challenges. VFF needs to demonstrate consistent operational improvement to justify any premium valuation.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
51.6
Growth Profile
40.1
Moat Durability⚠
58.4
Management Effectiveness
46.8
Diversification & Resilience⚠
42.0
Market Position
44.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (40.1)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
47.3
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
14.8
Relative Valuation
82.2
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.0
Historical Valuation
90.5
Macro Context
86.0

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$0.85
Base Case
$2.95
Bull Case
$6.40
Price at Analysis
$2.81
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$0.85-2.0%3.0%11.8%
🟒 Base$2.953.0%6.0%11.1%
🟒 Bull$6.406.0%10.0%10.5%
Key Assumptions: VFF has experienced significant revenue decline from $336M to $268M with persistently negative operating margins and negative FCF over the last 3-4 years. Base case assumes modest revenue recovery to ~$360M by Year 10 with gradual margin improvement to 6% operating margin as cannabis and produce segments stabilize. WACC is elevated at 11.1% reflecting high beta of 1.30 with a 5.5% ERP, plus the company's operational distress and negative cash flow history. Bear case assumes continued margin pressure and flat/declining revenue; bull case assumes successful turnaround with margins reaching 10% on revenue growth acceleration.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin40.6%
Operating Margin12.7%
Net Margin15.0%
ROIC2.6%
ROE-4.6%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.64
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: -0.38x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 8.4%
Altman Z-Score2.38 (Grey)
Piotroski F-Score5/9 (Mixed)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-5.3% CAGR
Earnings CAGR70.7% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 3.76
Segment Breadth2/4 growing (50%)
Quarterly TrendRev↓, Margin↑, Cash↓, WC↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Misser

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEOSteve Jump Β· 5 years
CEO Ownership12.6%
Compensation37% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 2.6% vs WACC 5.5%
Earnings Beat Rate29% (8/22)

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Analysis conducted March 17, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny