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VMC VMC

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 31, 2026
Price at analysis: $279.88
Crucible Score
55.8
C
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
59.7
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
51.1
C-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” VMC

VMC earns a middling C rating with its 55.8 Crucible Score, reflecting solid financial quality (71) undermined by weak growth prospects (45) and mediocre management execution. The stock trades 8% below fair value at $280, but insider selling and a poor 48% earnings beat rate signal execution challenges. Growth acceleration remains the key catalyst for meaningful outperformance.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
71.3
Growth Profile
44.7
Moat Durability⚠
65.8
Management Effectiveness
51.2
Diversification & Resilience⚠
55.0
Market Position
62.0
Weakest dimension: Growth Profile (44.7)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
57.9
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
31.1
Relative Valuation
35.7
Growth-Adjusted Value
64.4
Historical Valuation
82.3
Macro Context
43.6

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$198.52
Base Case
$302.15
Bull Case
$435.78
Price at Analysis
$279.88
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$198.524.0%18.0%10.0%
🟒 Base$302.156.0%21.0%9.3%
🟒 Bull$435.788.0%24.0%8.6%
Key Assumptions: Revenue CAGR over the trailing 5 years was approximately 7.4%, with operating margins ranging from 13% to 20%. Bear case assumes infrastructure spending slows and pricing power weakens with margins reverting toward the lower end of the historical range. Base case assumes steady mid-single-digit growth supported by ongoing infrastructure investment (IIJA tailwinds) with margins stabilizing near recent levels. Bull case assumes accelerating volumes from infrastructure mega-projects and continued pricing power driving margin expansion above historical peaks. WACC calculated using CAPM with 4.33% risk-free rate, beta of 1.06, and equity risk premium of 5.0-5.5% depending on scenario, blended with after-tax cost of debt around 4.5%.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin27.3%
Operating Margin20.1%
Net Margin13.6%
ROIC7.7%
ROE10.7%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 2.69
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 1.05x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 8.5%
Altman Z-Score3.93 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR-38.5% CAGR (suspect)
Earnings CAGR-36.7% CAGR (suspect)
Growth ConsistencyCV: 303.85
Segment Breadth3/3 growing (100%)
Quarterly TrendRevβˆ†, Margin↑
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Misser

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership< 1%
Compensation77% performance-based
Insider ActivitySelling
Capital AllocationROIC 7.7% vs WACC 6.8%
Earnings Beat Rate48% (11/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 31, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny