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WELL WELL

UnknownUnknownN/AπŸ“… Scored March 18, 2026
Price at analysis: $196.77
Crucible Score
48.8
C-
Quality Γ— Value Composite
KQI β€” Quality
61.9
C+
Fundamental Quality Index
KVI β€” Value
32.7
D-
Valuation Attractiveness Index
Crucible Verdict β€” WELL

WELL trades at a modest premium to fair value despite delivering strong operational execution with an 84% earnings beat rate and solid financial fundamentals. The stock suffers from a severe quality-value disconnect, where decent underlying metrics (61.9 KQI) clash with poor perceived value (32.7 KVI). Management effectiveness remains the key bottleneck limiting the company's ability to unlock shareholder returns.

β€” Kal, Kaladin Capital Intelligence

β—† KQI Quality Dimensions

Financial Quality
75.3
Growth Profile
71.0
Moat Durability⚠
57.4
Management Effectiveness
47.2
Diversification & Resilience⚠
51.0
Market Position
72.0
Weakest dimension: Management Effectiveness (47.2)

β—† KVI Value Dimensions

DCF Margin of Safety
48.4
FCF Yield & Cash Returns
19.2
Relative Valuation
14.4
Growth-Adjusted Value
35.0
Historical Valuation
50.0
Macro Context
10.2

β—† DCF Valuation Scenarios

Bear Case
$128.45
Base Case
$192.30
Bull Case
$278.50
Price at Analysis
$196.77
ScenarioFair ValueRev CAGR (5yr)Terminal MarginWACC
πŸ”΄ Bear$128.456.0%15.0%8.8%
🟒 Base$192.309.0%18.0%8.3%
🟒 Bull$278.5012.0%22.0%7.8%
Key Assumptions: WELL is a healthcare REIT with near-zero effective tax rates and minimal capex relative to revenue, as most capital deployment occurs through acquisitions. Revenue has grown from ~$4.7B to ~$10.7B over 5 years driven by acquisitions and senior housing recovery; base case assumes moderation to ~9% CAGR as post-COVID tailwinds normalize. Operating margins have been volatile (3-16%) due to senior housing operator transitions; we project stabilization at 15-22% across scenarios, with EBITDA margins anchoring around 22-28% reflecting the asset-heavy REIT model. WACC uses CAPM with 0.81 beta and 5.5% ERP, yielding ~8.3% base cost of equity, with modest debt cost adjustments across scenarios.

β—† Financial Snapshot

Profitability

Gross Margin39.2%
Operating Margin3.3%
Net Margin8.8%
ROIC86.0%
ROE4.0%

Balance Sheet

Balance SheetCR: 5.34
Cash ConversionFCF/EPS: 3.04x
Capital IntensityCapex/Rev: 0.3%
Altman Z-Score3.82 (Safe)
Piotroski F-Score7/9 (Good)

Growth

Revenue CAGR15.7% CAGR
Earnings CAGR30.1% CAGR
Growth ConsistencyCV: 1.64
Segment Breadth2/3 growing (67%)
Quarterly TrendRevβˆ†, Margin↓↓, Exp↓
Earnings CredibilityConsistent Beater

β—† Analyst Consensus & Leadership

Leadership & Governance

CEO Ownership12.0%
Compensation93% performance-based
Insider ActivityNeutral
Capital AllocationROIC 0.9% vs WACC 2.4%
Earnings Beat Rate84% (16/22)

β—† Related Companies in Our Universe

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Analysis conducted March 18, 2026 based on most recent SEC filings. Updated quarterly, after new SEC filings.

Point-in-time fundamental analysis. Not investment advice. Scores reflect company quality and valuation at time of analysis and may not reflect current market conditions.

Β© 2026 Kaladin Capital Intelligence β€” Conviction Through Scrutiny